Gabriel Koerich Orch

Evening Retrospective — 2026-04-13

Summary

Sprint record day: 28 commits merged in 12 hours. The central achievement was identifying and fixing the 12-minute tick loop stall that paralyzed all Tokio workers — the root cause of the systemic stalls observed over the last several days. Alongside that, a sweep of remaining blocking I/O calls and missing timeouts brought timeout/async hygiene close to complete coverage. Two new features shipped: orch session export for cross-agent handoffs and orch task inspect for diagnostic access to running sessions. 175 tasks completed in the last 24 hours.

One operational problem surfaced: CLI and service versions are mismatched (CLI 0.67.7 vs service 0.67.9). Needs brew upgrade orch before next session.


What was accomplished today

28 commits merged — highest single-day count of the sprint:

Critical reliability fixes

CommitIssueDescription
5dfa81bb#2574Engine tick loop stall (12+ min) — all Tokio workers paralyzed. Root cause identified and fixed.
f24f734f#2575Silence detection bypassed when tmux session exits with seen-alias stub
58bbd5f1#2581Issues created during engine downtime permanently skipped by ingest deduplication
7fe38f1a#2597Review result discarded when stuck-task recovery races with review completion (13-min review wasted)
57d7c690Dedup continue skips task ingest even when update_status fails

Timeout sweep (nearly complete)

CommitIssueDescription
e390da2c#2591git fetch and gh pr create in review flow — no timeout
8cb47804#2584Bash job type blocks tick loop indefinitely
389b2c9a#2586git push/fetch in post-processing runner — no timeout (120s added)
68d8591c#2585git push/fetch in auto_merge rebase recovery — no timeout

Async/blocking hygiene

CommitIssueDescription
e8e142bc#2590Replace blocking std::fs::write with tokio::fs::write in WebhookStatus
3fd5e632#2576Run reconcile_startup_estimates in background; skip terminal blocking at startup
69a7d229#2579sync_estimate_to_project was blocking tick loop inline during routing

Performance

CommitIssueDescription
61e9045f#2595RouterConfig::from_config() called per dispatch in get_route_result() — router timeout warning fired once per dispatched task
69541fb1#2596GitHub label remove/add operations awaited inline — now fire-and-forget

Observability / correctness

CommitIssueDescription
42020e9e#2563get_check_runs called twice on CI failure when required_context matches
c82f2c38#2566collect pattern in control.rs loses individual error details
7488294d#2567kv_get_prefer_store silently swallows database errors
8f961c88#2569DB failure logging upgraded from warn to error in sync.rs
1daff846#2562Failure when posting merge-conflict retry-limit comment silently dropped

Features

CommitIssueDescription
9bbe03c1#2594orch session export — cross-agent handoff summary command
9d4a8adc#2560Coverage report now shows per-file breakdown
91d267a5orch task inspect — agent session diagnostics command

Morning priorities — status

PriorityStatus
Monitor codex re-entry on Apr 16Cooldown confirmed at 2d17h. Still cooling. No action needed.
Verify kimi recovery on Apr 15cooldown:kimi shows 1d7h remaining. On track for Apr 15 recovery.
Investigate claude/opus 52% rateStill at ~50% (13 success / 13 failed in 12h). Needs tomorrow's deep-dive.
Confirm CLI version parityFOUND: CLI 0.67.7 vs service 0.67.9. Run brew upgrade orch.
Audit rate_limit outcomesMinimal today — only minimax/opus with 2 rate_limits. Not a current concern.

Agent health (12h snapshot)

AgentModelSuccessFailedRate
claudesonnet773469%
claudeopus131350%
claude(blank)111346%
opencodegpt-5-mini360100%
minimaxopus350+2 rl94%
opencodeminimax-m2.5-free19195%
opencode(blank)230100%
glmopus60100%
opencodenemotron-3-super-free5271%
opencodecopilot/claude-sonnet-4.6030%
opencodecopilot/gemini-3.1-pro040%
opencodecopilot/gpt-5.4050%
opencodecopilot/claude-opus-4.6010%

Notable:

  • opencode/gpt-5-mini and minimax-m2.5-free remain the best-performing low-cost models. Carrying significant load.
  • claude/opus at 50% — same signal as yesterday. Unclear if hard task mix or model degradation. Requires investigation tomorrow via task_runs error patterns.
  • claude/(blank) at 46% — this is likely model-unresolved invocations; worth checking what model is being used when the model field is empty.
  • GitHub Copilot models continue failing at 0%. Cooldowns are being applied (gpt-5.4 at ~2h). No new issue needed.
  • glm/opus — new entrant showing 6/6 (100%). Promising.

Active cooldowns

Cooldown keyRemainingReason
codex2d17hBilling cycle exhausted
kimi1d7hBilling cycle
kimi:haiku46mSame billing event
glm:haiku2h14mModel cooldown
opencode:github-copilot/gpt-5.41h59mSilence detection
opencode:opencode/nemotron-3-super-free1h13mSilence detection

What failed or needs attention

1. CLI/service version mismatch

CLI is 0.67.7, service is 0.67.9. This causes inconsistent behavior when using orch commands locally. Run before next session:

brew upgrade orch && brew services restart orch
orch version  # verify both match

2. claude/opus at 50% success rate (two days running)

Both yesterday and today, claude/opus sits at ~50% success. This may be:

  • Hard task mix: opus is routed for complexity:complex tasks which are inherently harder
  • Model degradation: genuine claude/opus quality drop
  • Prompt issues: complex tasks have worse-structured prompts

Check tomorrow:

sqlite3 ~/.orch/orch.db "SELECT error, COUNT(*) FROM task_runs WHERE agent='claude' AND model='opus' AND outcome='failed' AND started_at > datetime('now', '-48 hours') GROUP BY error ORDER BY COUNT(*) DESC LIMIT 10;"

3. Tick loop stall root cause fixed — verify recovery

Today's fix (#2574) addresses the 12+ minute tick loop stall. The engine should now be responsive even when individual tasks block. Verify that tick latency has normalized by checking that tasks are dispatching at the expected 10s interval.


Issues — none created today

All discovered problems are either:

  • Fixed by today's commits (timeout gaps, stall root cause, race conditions)
  • Already tracked in open issues (#2525 per-agent NDJSON parsers)
  • Operational (cooldowns, billing — handled generically)

claude/opus 50% failure rate needs one more day of data before filing. Will revisit in tomorrow's review.


Priorities for tomorrow (morning review)

  1. Fix CLI version mismatch firstbrew upgrade orch && brew services restart orch && orch version. Do this before anything else.

  2. Investigate claude/opus 50% failure rate — Query task_runs for error patterns on opus failures. Determine if it's task complexity distribution or model degradation.

  3. Verify tick loop stall is resolved — #2574 fix just merged. Confirm engine ticks are dispatching at expected 10s cadence with no stalls visible in logs.

  4. Monitor kimi recovery (Apr 15 ~06:32 UTC)kimi:haiku cooldown expires tonight (~46m from run time). Verify kimi begins routing again and check first few completions.

  5. Investigate claude/(blank) model field — 46% success rate on runs where model is empty. Determine which model is actually being used in these invocations.

  6. Review blocked tasks — 42 tasks blocked in last 24h. Audit for patterns: are these hitting max_review_cycles, CI failures, or agent loop detection? Prioritize by project.


Prepared by Orch automation (internal task internal:145175).

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