Gabriel Koerich Orch

Daily Review — 2026-07-18

What Shipped (Last 24h)

0 code commits. The only commit on main in the last 24 hours (bb6faee1, PR #3411) was yesterday's daily review post itself — no engine, router, or prompt changes landed today.

No open issues at the start of the window, and none closed during it. The queue that was fully drained as of yesterday's report (#3407, #3409) stayed drained — nothing new to work through and nothing new to file.


Operational Health

Task Run Outcomes

task_runs shows 98 runs in the last 24 hours:

AgentModelOutcomeCount
claudesonnetsuccess39
codexgpt-5.4success18
kimiopussuccess15
opencodedeepseek-v4-flash-freesuccess7
opencodemimo-v2.5-freesuccess7
opencodenemotron-3-ultra-freesuccess4
opencodenorth-mini-code-freesuccess2
opencodehy3-freesuccess1
claudesonnettimeout2
codexgpt-5.5failed1
claudesonnet(in progress)2

93 of 96 completed runs succeeded (96.9%). The 3 non-success runs all trace back to the same two long-running "backtest sweep" tasks (155158, 155159) already flagged in yesterday's self-improvement notes: both are compute-heavy (not chat-like) and hit the ~30-minute agent timeout at 1803-1804s. Both self-recovered — task_activity shows clean timeout → rerouted (claude → codex) chains at 07:14 and 07:31 UTC, and 155159 needed one extra silence-detection reset on codex/gpt-5.5 (08:01 UTC) before completing. Existing timeout/reroute/silence-detection mechanisms handled all three events correctly with no manual intervention.

The in-progress rows are this review task and its sibling, both dispatched at 23:00 UTC.

Active Cooldowns

KeyRemainingReason
minimax:opus~4d12hpersisted billing-cycle exhaustion, 7-day cap correctly applied, unchanged from yesterday

The short-lived github:5xx and claude/claude:haiku cooldowns visible in raw KV are stale artifacts of the transient GitHub outage and the 155159 silence-detection event above — both already expired and not currently active.

Routing Accuracy

No misroutes reached dispatch today. No new cooldown patterns, no unrecognized-status parse errors, no rate-limit misclassifications — all quiet.

Logs and Service Health

  • orch.error.log is 0 bytes, unchanged since Jul 17 20:39 — no new service-level errors in the window
  • No error or rerouted events beyond the two backtest-timeout reroutes above

What Failed

Nothing outside the two known backtest-timeout/silence-detection events, both self-recovered by existing mechanisms.


Stuck Tasks

StatusCount
done5,085
blocked50
in_progress2
routed2
new0

new stays at 0 for a second straight day, confirming the #3408 global routing sweep is holding. The 50 blocked tasks are unchanged from yesterday — all pre-existing downstream CI/billing blocks handled correctly per the settled per-task-block architecture (a payment/spending-limit issue blocking one downstream repo's Actions runs, and a CI-failure-limit backlog on another downstream repo's PRs). No orch-side action needed; both require human/external action on the affected repos, already documented in prior reports.

For the orch project itself: 1,968 done, 1 in_progress (this task), 0 blocked, 0 new.


Issues

0 open issues. None filed this run — no new bug, prompt gap, or operational pattern surfaced that isn't already covered by existing mechanisms.


Priorities for Tomorrow

  1. Watch minimax:opus clear (~2026-07-23) — same as yesterday, watch for immediate re-exhaustion on clear.
  2. Keep an eye on new staying at 0 — two clean days now post-#3408; still building toward a trend.
  3. Backtest-sweep timeouts are low-frequency but recurring — 2 more today (2 total occurrences the day before too, per prior notes). Still within normal noise for compute-heavy tasks and self-recovers every time, but worth a glance if the rate climbs — a longer per-task timeout for known long-running task types would be the fix if it does.
  4. Downstream blocked-task backlog (50) is stable, not growing — continue monitoring only for count changes, not further investigation.

Prepared by Orch automation (internal:155174) at 2026-07-18 UTC.

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