What Shipped (Last 24h)

2 commits landed in the last 24 hours.

Closed Issues (Last 24h)

The key shipped fix (#3349) corrects the minimax quota misclassification: "Token Plan usage limit reached" now triggers billing_cycle_exhausted (7d model-level cooldown) instead of generic rate_limit (4h cap), preventing the repeated 18-failure cycle that occurred Jun 13–22.

Operational Health

Throughput (Last 24h)

Volume remained healthy. The system processed ~60 agent dispatches and ~30 PR reviews without systemic stalls.

Agent / Model Outcomes (Last 24h)

Aggregate: 51 successes, 1 failure, 2 rate limits, 1 parse error, 1 blocked, 2 in-flight/no-outcome.

What Went Well

1. Claude/sonnet and Codex/gpt-5.4/5.5 carried the bulk of successful work — no systemic degradation visible.
2. The minimax billing misclassification fix (#3349) landed and deployed — prevents the 18-failure cycle from recurring. Minimax is now correctly cooled for ~21h (cooldown until ~Jun 24 23:00Z).
3. Failover worked correctly — both nightly jobs (daily review + evening retrospective) initially routed to minimax/opus, hit the quota error, and were rerouted to opencode and claude respectively.

What Failed

1. Service still lags latest release (v0.80.25 → v0.80.30, 5 versions behind)

Missing fixes not yet deployed:

• #3337 — JSONL domain output parsing (fixes output capture for structured agents)
• #3341 — cleanup reconciliation throttle (removes the 30s timeout spam)
• #3345 — silence-detection reroutes correctness (prevents false needs_review/done)
• #3349 — minimax billing_cycle_exhausted classification (prevents repeated quota retries)

The log shows the upgrade check fired at 2026-06-23T22:56:19.522617Z WARN orch upgrade available current_version=0.80.25 latest_version=0.80.30. Issue #3347 tracks this deployment lag.

2. Stale opencode model pool warnings persist

Every sync cycle emits:

agent model pool appears stale: persistent model failures in heavily cooled pool
opencode:2/4:opencode/nemotron-3-ultra-free,opencode/north-mini-code-free

This is the detector in src/engine/sync.rs firing because 2 of 4 configured opencode models have persistent failure markers (failure_count=3 each). The models keep getting re-selected after cooldowns expire, fail again, and re-cool. This is pool health drift, not a new code regression.

3. Minimax quota exhaustion hit both nightly jobs (again)

Tasks internal:154260 (this review) and internal:154261 (evening retrospective) both first routed to minimax/opus, then failed with:

API Error: Request rejected (429) · Token Plan usage limit reached

The fix in #3349 now classifies this as billing_cycle_exhausted (model-level 7d cooldown) instead of rate_limit. Minimax has failure_count=18 total and is blocked for ~21h. Recovery worked, but first-attempt 429s still waste the nightly window.

4. One claude/sonnet failure and one opencode parse_error

• claude/sonnet — 1 failed outcome (need to check if this is the "session limit" pattern or something else)
• opencode/north-mini-code-free — 1 parse_error (recurring pattern, model has failure_count=3)
• codex/gpt-5.4-mini — 1 blocked (likely task #3347 which is externally blocked on deployment)

Stuck / Blocked Work

Current active scheduled work

Downstream backlog (gabrielkoerich/oblivion)

• 44 blocked tasks — almost all on CI failure limit (3) reached during auto-merge
• 2 tasks (#490, #493) remain new after 5 attempts each
• 1 task (#419) blocked on max review cycles (2) exceeded
• 1 task (#458) blocked on review agent rebroadcast escalated after repeated retries

This remains a downstream CI throughput problem. Orch is surfacing the bottleneck accurately; the queue will not clear until those downstream CI failures are addressed.

Routing Accuracy

Routing was mostly accurate:

• Daily review correctly re-routed from minimax → opencode after quota hit
• Evening retrospective correctly re-routed from minimax → claude
• Claude and Codex were selected for highest volume of successful work

Main concern: pool health drift. Opencode retains 2 persistently cooled models in active configuration; Minimax remains quota-limited. The routing logic is sound, but the configured pools have degraded models that keep cycling back in after cooldowns expire.

No evidence of silent-model failure loops (fixed earlier in the month). Current signals are explicit: rate limits, parse errors, and stale-pool warnings.

Issues

One existing open issue: #3347 (service lag v0.80.25→v0.80.30). No new issues filed from this review.

Reasons no new issues filed:

1. Service deployment lag is already tracked in #3347 — root cause is operational, not code.
2. Stale opencode pool warning is an existing detector firing on configured pool drift, not a new regression.
3. Minimax quota is now correctly classified as billing_cycle_exhausted (#3349 fixed) — the 7d model-level cooldown will prevent re-selection until quota likely resets.
4. Downstream Oblivion CI blocks are external program-health issues, not Orch bugs.

Priorities for Tomorrow

1. Upgrade the running service to v0.80.30. Removes the cleanup reconciliation timeout noise and picks up all 4 recent engine fixes (#3337, #3341, #3345, #3349).

   brew update && brew upgrade orch && brew services restart orch

2. Review the opencode model pool. Two of four configured models (nemotron-3-ultra-free, north-mini-code-free) have failure_count=3 and trigger the stale-pool alert every sync tick. Consider removing or replacing them.

3. Keep minimax off critical scheduled jobs until quota stabilizes. The billing_cycle_exhausted fix prevents the retry storm, but first-attempt 429s still waste the nightly window. Temporarily label nightly jobs with agent:claude or agent:codex.

4. Triage Oblivion blocked backlog as CI/program-health. 44 tasks blocked on CI failures is a downstream signal — Orch is working as designed by surfacing it.

Prepared by Orch automation (internal:154260)

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