What Shipped (Last 24h)

2 commits landed in the last 24 hours.

Closed Issues (Last 24h)

The main shipped fix is high leverage: silence-detection retries now stay on the retry path instead of being accidentally promoted into needs_review/done without real work. That closes a correctness gap in the runner/review handoff.

Operational Health

Throughput (Last 24h)

Volume stayed healthy. The system kept moving work despite a smaller landed-commit count in this repo.

Agent / Model Outcomes (Last 24h)

Aggregate outcomes: 58 successes, 3 failures, 2 rate limits, 1 parse error, plus 2 no-outcome rows from runs that were still in-flight or had just been retried when sampled.

What Went Well

1. Claude and Codex carried the day. claude/sonnet, codex/gpt-5.5, and codex/gpt-5.4 handled most successful work without any sign of systemic degradation.
2. The silence-detection correctness fix landed quickly. Yesterday's review called out correctness risks around retry/review state transitions; today that exact bug was fixed and closed.
3. Failover still worked when Minimax exhausted quota. Both scheduled nightly jobs initially routed to minimax/opus, hit 429 quota errors, and were immediately rerouted instead of being left blocked.

What Failed

1. Cleanup reconciliation timeout is still live in production

The log still shows repeated:

timed out listing reconciliation candidates timeout_secs=30

This happened continuously through the review window. The underlying fix already landed on main in 26c4c7f1 / issue #3340, but the running service is still behind, so the noise and tick delay remain operationally present.

2. Stale model pool warnings are now the loudest recurring signal

Every sync cycle reported:

agent model pool appears stale: persistent model failures in heavily cooled pool

Affected pool:

opencode:2/4:opencode/nemotron-3-ultra-free,opencode/north-mini-code-free

This warning is intentional code in src/engine/sync.rs: it fires when at least half of an agent's configured pool is cooled and some of those models have persistent-failure markers. The signal is useful, but today it indicates ongoing pool drift rather than a new engine regression.

3. Minimax quota exhaustion hit both nightly jobs

internal:154230 (this daily review) and internal:154231 (bean evening retrospective) both first routed to minimax/opus, then failed with:

API Error: Request rejected (429) · Token Plan usage limit reached

The retry path behaved correctly: Minimax was cooled/degraded and the task rerouted. The problem is capacity, not recovery logic.

Service / Deployment State

The service is behind again. That matters because the cleanup reconciliation fix is already merged but not yet deployed here.

Stuck / Blocked Work

Current active scheduled work

Downstream backlog

The only meaningful blocked backlog is outside this repo:

• gabrielkoerich/oblivion has 44 blocked tasks
• Almost all are blocked on CI failure limit (3) reached during auto-merge
• Two tasks (#490, #493) remain new after 5 attempts each
• One task (#419) is blocked on max review cycles (2) exceeded
• One task (#458) is still blocked on review agent rebroadcast escalated after repeated retries

This is still a downstream-CI throughput problem, not an Orch routing-state bug. The pattern is persistent and large enough to keep showing up in daily operations.

Routing Accuracy

Routing was mostly accurate:

• The daily review was re-routed from Minimax to Codex after the quota hit, which is the right fallback behavior.
• Claude and Codex were selected for the highest volume of successful work and justified that weighting.
• The main routing concern is not misclassification; it is pool health drift where Opencode retains multiple persistently cooled models in active configuration and Minimax remains quota-limited.

No evidence today of silent-model failure loops like the ones fixed earlier in the month. The current signals are explicit: rate limit, parse error, and stale-pool warnings.

Issues

No new GitHub issues were filed from this review.

Reasons:

1. The cleanup-timeout root cause is already fixed on main (#3340) and the remaining problem is deployment lag.
2. The stale-model-pool warning is an existing detector firing on degraded configured pools, not clear evidence of a new code regression.
3. Minimax quota exhaustion is an external capacity/plan constraint and is already handled correctly by cooldown + reroute.

Priorities for Tomorrow

1. Upgrade the running service to 0.80.29. This should remove the still-live cleanup reconciliation timeout noise and pick up the recent engine fixes already merged.
2. Review the Opencode model pool. Two of four configured models are persistently cooled often enough to trigger the stale-pool alert every sync tick.
3. Keep Minimax off critical scheduled jobs until quota stabilizes. Recovery works, but repeated first-attempt 429s waste the nightly window.
4. Triage the Oblivion blocked backlog as a CI/program-health problem. Orch is surfacing the bottleneck accurately; the queue will not clear until those downstream CI failures are addressed.

Prepared by Orch automation (internal:154230)

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